Crown Point
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #9
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
Crown Point Regional Rank #2
Crown Point Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 23.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 63.4%
Advance to State Finals 97.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
26  Ryan Kepshire 12 16:08
64  Dylan Wallace 12 16:26
86  Matthew Mosak 12 16:34
157  Alec Gerlach 12 16:49
166  Josh Whitaker 10 16:50
184  Matt Wielgus 12 16:54
195  Zachary Hoover 11 16:56
307  Gino Ferrari 12 17:13
356  Matt McConnell 11 17:19
420  Aaron Kamstra 10 17:26
512  Matt Muller 12 17:35
724  Blake Macke 12 17:52
Mike Psimos 10 17:59
Drew Holok 9 18:09
Joshua Kvachkoff 12 18:11
Casey Riggle 10 18:13
Nathan DeMars 11 18:20
Mac Anderson 12 18:41
DateRace Rating
08/26 Crown Point Invitational
08/29 Rudy Skorupa Invitational 197
09/05 Terre Haute Savings Bank Invitational 214
09/12 Bob Thomas Invitational 263
09/19 New Prairie Invitational 282
09/26 Culver Invitational 332
10/03 Duneland Athletic Conference 323
10/10 Crown Point Sectional 338
10/17 Crown Point Regional 305
10/24 New Prairie Semi-State 245
10/31 State Finals 270




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 97.2% 8.8 270 0.8 3.4 5.2 6.7 7.1 7.4 8.2 8.5 8.5 7.6 7.1 7.2 6.0 4.5 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.7 133 13.8 15.7 16.4 17.3 17.4 16.6 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.1 55 27.0 37.1 35.1 0.8
Sectionals 100% 1.4 29 55.3 44.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Kepshire 99.1% 28.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.6 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.7 66.5% 96.5%
Dylan Wallace 97.3% 65.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 5.0% 58.4%
Matthew Mosak 97.2% 85.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 33.3%
Alec Gerlach 97.2% 119.4 0.0 0.0% 4.7%
Josh Whitaker 97.2% 122.0 0.0% 3.6%
Matt Wielgus 97.2% 129.3 0.0% 1.7%
Zachary Hoover 97.2% 132.3 0.0% 1.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Kepshire 100% 7.8 1.9 3.5 5.8 6.8 8.1 8.5 8.7 8.2 7.9 6.5 5.7 4.9 4.3 3.8 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Dylan Wallace 100% 19.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.3 4.9 4.9 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.5 100.0%
Matthew Mosak 100% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.4 100.0%
Alec Gerlach 100% 46.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 100.0%
Josh Whitaker 100% 48.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 100.0%
Matt Wielgus 100% 54.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Zachary Hoover 100% 56.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Kepshire 100% 3.6 6.3 14.6 18.0 17.3 14.2 11.7 8.4 5.8 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dylan Wallace 100% 8.3 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.2 5.4 8.5 11.7 14.1 16.7 13.6 9.9 6.4 3.9 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matthew Mosak 100% 10.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.9 5.2 7.9 12.0 14.9 14.4 12.1 9.4 6.7 4.6 3.1 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Alec Gerlach 100% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.1 5.6 8.2 9.7 10.8 10.4 9.8 9.2 7.6 5.8 4.8 3.5 2.8 1.8 1.1 100.0%
Josh Whitaker 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.4 5.5 6.5 9.0 9.4 10.7 10.1 8.7 8.4 7.3 5.7 4.5 3.3 2.0 1.6 100.0%
Matt Wielgus 100% 18.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.8 3.9 5.1 7.3 8.4 9.5 9.3 9.8 9.4 8.0 7.2 5.3 4.4 3.4 100.0%
Zachary Hoover 100% 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 2.9 4.6 6.0 7.1 8.8 9.9 10.0 10.1 8.6 7.5 6.7 5.4 3.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Kepshire 1.0 56.5 20.0 17.3 4.5 1.3 0.4 0.0
Dylan Wallace 3.8 1.0 13.9 15.4 26.1 19.3 12.9 7.6 3.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
Matthew Mosak 5.3 0.1 2.7 7.2 13.0 21.5 20.0 16.9 13.0 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alec Gerlach 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 5.6 9.7 15.2 20.5 18.5 13.0 8.9 3.8 1.3 0.4
Josh Whitaker 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 4.4 7.9 12.5 19.0 19.2 16.1 11.6 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.0
Matt Wielgus 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.8 6.9 12.3 17.0 20.6 20.9 10.7 3.5 1.6 0.1
Zachary Hoover 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.2 5.5 10.1 15.2 20.7 22.8 13.3 5.6 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0